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Myanmar

Military government · UN member

Military rule since the 2021 coup; territory held by resistance and ethnic armed groups is not modelled separately.

Myanmar starts the October 2026 scenario as a military government with 53.9M people in 37 provinces and an economy of $81.7B.

Relations

Nations it can form

Movements

KachinlandThe Kachin Independence Army has fought since 1961 and holds much of the state.

Federated Shan StatesThe Shan States were promised the right to secede in 1947; Shan armies have fought since 1958.

KawthooleiThe Karen National Union has fought for Kawthoolei since 1949, one of the world’s longest wars.

ArakanThe Arakan Army took most of Rakhine in 2024; Mrauk U was a kingdom until 1784.

ChinlandChin resistance groups proclaimed Chinland in 2023.

National Unity GovernmentPeople’s Defence Forces have fought the junta across the dry zone since the 2021 coup.

Sources: GDP World Bank NY.GDP.MKTP.CD (2025). Troops: World Bank MS.MIL.TOTL.P1 (2020; includes paramilitary).

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